It wasn't me. You can't prove anything.


2007-02-17

No one will ever win this fight.

There is no more widely believed proposition in world politics today than that solving the Arab-Israel conflict would contribute to world peace as nothing else could.  It doesn't matter where you stand on the conflict.  Republicans and Democrats, Western European democratic leaders and Arab despots, the EU, the UN, Israeli leaders, Jews of the world - for all of them, solving the Arab-Israel conflict is the holy grail.
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Let's begin with Israel where it is not hard to see why solving the Arab-Israel conflict spells catastrophe.  The only way Israel can achieve peace is to disappear.  The Arabs make that clear, no matter how much the rest of the world and indeed the Israelis shut their ears.  The Hamas government on Israel's border makes that crystal clear, without any of the peace-in-English, war-in-Arabic obfuscations of the Arafat era. The conflict is not about territory occupied since 1967, but about all the territory Israel occupies.
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If solving the Arab-Israel problem is the path to perdition, what policies can productively be pursued  in respect to the Middle East?  Deterrence? Exploiting divisions within Islam?  Military action?  Supporting internal dissidents within individual countries?  Sharply curtailing Muslim immigration to the West?  A crash program to develop non-mid East energy sources? A combination of these? Other possibilities? We are in for a long struggle against a resurgent Islam and there are no Five Easy Steps to End the Islamic Threat. This said, it is past time for some genuine realism to be brought to bear in thinking about the problems of the Middle East, not the false kind James Baker represents.  Putting the idea of solving the Arab Israel conflict in the diplomatic trash bin should be the first order of business.

I'm telling you there will never be peace in the Middle East until one or the other side is wiped out.

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